Pengaruh Belanja Modal terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Tahun 2010 - 2019

Fauzi, Muhamad Dinan (2024) Pengaruh Belanja Modal terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Tahun 2010 - 2019. KTTA thesis, Politeknik Keuangan Negara STAN.

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Abstract

Penelitian ini membahas pengaruh belanja modal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi linear berganda dengan belanja modal dan belanja non modal sebagai variabel independen dan laju pertumbuhan ekonomi sebagai variabel dependen. Penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial belanja modal memiliki pengaruh yang tidak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019, sedangkan secara parsial belanja non modal memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019. Secara simultan belanja modal dan belanja non modal memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019. Pengaruh belanja modal dan belanja non modal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019 dapat dijelaskan dalam persentase sebesar 63,8%, sedangkan sisanya yaitu sebesar 36,2% merupakan sebab-sebab lain di luar belanja modal dan belanja non modal yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019. Jika belanja modal dan belanja modal dianggap konstan, maka rata-rata pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019 adalah sebesar 492,537%. Nilai yang positif menunjukkan bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019 tidak sepenuhnya dipengaruhi oleh belanja modal dan belanja non modal. Setiap pertambahan belanja modal sebesar 1% menaikkan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019 sebesar 0,008% dan setiap pertambahan belanja non modal sebesar 1% menaikkan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 2010 – 2019 sebesar 0,032%. This study discusses the effect of capital expenditure on economic growth in Indonesia in 2010 - 2019. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis with capital expenditure and non-capital expenditure as independent variables and economic growth rate as the dependent variable. This study shows that partially capital expenditure has an insignificant effect on economic growth in Indonesia in 2010 - 2019, while partially non-capital expenditure has a significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia in 2010 - 2019. Simultaneously, capital expenditure and non-capital expenditure have a significant influence on economic growth in Indonesia in 2010-2019. The effect of capital expenditure and non-capital expenditure on economic growth in Indonesia in 2010 - 2019 can be explained in a percentage of 63.8%, while the remaining 36.2% is other causes outside of capital expenditure and non-capital expenditure that affect economic growth in Indonesia in 2010 - 2019. If capital expenditure and non-capital expenditure are considered constant, then the average economic growth in Indonesia in 2010 - 2019 is 492.537%. A positive value indicates that Indonesia's economic growth in 2010-2019 was not fully influenced by capital expenditure and non-capital expenditure. Each increase in capital expenditure by 1% increased economic growth in Indonesia in 2010 - 2019 by 0.008% and each increase in non-capital expenditure by 1% increased economic growth in Indonesia in 2010 - 2019 by 0.032%.

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